Followers of the Tyneside club are progressively viewing their manager's squad as a fickle friend. At their brilliant best, they transform into the undisputed life of the party, unleashing high-intensity exhibitions. Yet, at other times, once-dependable individuals like their midfield linchpin and his teammates simply do not show up.
Compounding these problems is a second-half strategy riddled with a worrying tendency of disorganization. Before their Boxing Day to Old Trafford, the statistics reveal a concerning picture: the team has let slip 13 vital Premier League points from leading situations this campaign and are without a shutout in 10 straight matches across all competitions. Claiming three points at their famous stadium would represent only their second-ever league success on the road this season.
Conversely, a loss has only come once in their most recent 6 league encounters, and although occupying a modest 11th spot, they are a mere 6 marks off the highly-prized Champions League places. Add in an upcoming two-part League Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a decent prospect of moving on to the Champions League knockout phase, and it is simpler to see the gaffer's measured hope.
“We don't just have issues,” remarked the team's manager. “You can see assets as well. I am very much optimistic currently. I understand everybody else may hold a different view, but my belief is we're making progress.”
The puzzle persists: can this squad recreate – or even exceed – the heights of last season's cup glory and fifth-place standing? Balancing a hectic calendar hinders.
This tiredness may account for the inability to maintain a stellar first-half showing against Chelsea, eventually squandering a two-goal lead to tie 2-2. Likewise, it could be the explanation for a subdued performance in a damaging defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the team looked off the pace just days after a demanding Champions League away day.
While on-field instruction is clearly Howe's forte, the relentless schedule of two games a week matches has severely cut into valuable training hours. This hinders the squad's stylistic adjustment to playing with summer signing their number nine up front, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While extremely gifted, the German forward has not shown the same electric counter-attacking pace or intense defensive work rate.
In fact, the side's signature pressing game has at times failed. Injuries to crucial component Joelinton have exacerbated matters, while high-profile signings Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have found it tough adapting since their big-money moves.
If a change to a back three could theoretically assist the cause, a worsening backline absence list renders that difficult. Key defenders will be missing for the upcoming key matches, challenging the team's depth.
At their high-tempo best, they seem almost unstoppable. The problem is sustaining that intensity for the entire match. The typical plan B of sitting back into a passive defensive formation has at times been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match descended into chaotic at 2-2,” admitted the manager. “However the intention was trying to win. We always go out to win.”
What seems called for is a pragmatic solution – involving better possession retention, a engine room adept of controlling the tempo, and a pragmatic willingness to occasionally accept a point. However, a desire to challenge on all competitions is pushing limited player resources to their limit.
This might seem heretical to some, but a different strategy in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have alleviated the current schedule pile-up. Amid vital Champions League & Premier League games on the agenda, the necessity to carefully choose focus areas is becoming ever more clear.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the scale of the journey ahead. “When you're at this club, the demands are enormous. Each game is critical. There is progress to be made in the league. We're in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have plenty of improvement to do to become the regularly successful team we aspire to be. Our capacity to string together sequences of victories has deserted us this season.
“The objective is to attain those levels we are aware we're capable of. The internal belief is that the confidence we can achieve it is returning. Yet nowadays we have to show it. It ain't all doom and gloom right now, but the coming period will determine much.”